Fuel Oil News November 2025 | Page 11

� EIA WINTER FUELS OUTLOOK
Heating oil, a variation of distillate fuel oil or diesel, is the primary space heating fuel for 3 % of U. S. households. EIA expects these homes will spend 8 % less on heating oil this winter than last. More than 80 % of the homes that use heating oil as their main heating fuel are in the Northeast.
Even though EIA publishes heating oil consumption as a U. S. average, the lack of consumption outside of the Northeast means the U. S. average heating oil price is heavily weighted toward the Northeast and corresponds closely to the Northeast regional average price.
Data source: U. S. Energy Information Administration, Winter Fuels Outlook
Lower heating oil prices and less heating oil consumption drive lower heating oil expenditures in EIA’ s base case forecast. EIA estimates that U. S. households that use heating oil for space heating will consume an average of about 400 gallons( gal) of heating oil this winter, or 4 % less than last winter. It is expected that heating oil prices will average about $ 3.50 / gal, 4 % less than last winter. At this price, homes that primarily heat with heating oil will spend an average of $ 1,390 this winter.
In the colder case, it is expected that the average household using heating oil as its pri-

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