Beverage Dynamics November-December 2018 | Page 10

DATA

DATA

Driven
Beverage industry insights and analysis

THE IMPACT OF CRAFT

BY PAUL SOJA , BEVERAGE INFORMATION & INSIGHTS GROUP
CRAFT BRANDS have captured a large share of consumer and media attention during the past five years , but how has the rise of craft beers and spirits impacted overall industry sales ? Are these startups taking share from legacy brands — or adding to overall consumption ? To find out , we looked at sales of the top ten brands of beer and spirits to see whether their growth ( or lack of growth ) has been impacted by rising craft sales .
In the case of beer , the overall category is declining even as craft sales rise . Craft brands and mainstream brands are on opposite trajectories . Increasing craft sales may be the cause of declining sales for top-ten brands . Spirits is a different story , since the category has continued to grow and there are a handful of brands in the top ten driving much of that growth ( Tito ’ s , New Amsterdam and Fireball ). Craft spirits command a smaller share , and their growth doesn ’ t correlate directly with any declines .
A DEEPER DIVE The beer market is currently facing its fifth consecutive year of overall volume losses . Light beers dominate the category with 43.7 % of volume , but their sales are consistently dwindling . Total case sales of light beer were down 3.1 % in 2017 , and Bud Light has averaged 3.2 % annual losses over the past five years . The popular beer category has also shrunk over that time – it ’ s been steadily declining since 1988 , except for growth in 2008 and 2009 during the recession .
Sales of craft beer , however , are characterized by consistent growth . After the segment ’ s rapid rise in 2012 and 2013 of more than 20 %, growth has continued at a slower rate . It was 4.9 % in 2017 . Currently , craft beer ’ s share of the category is just over 11 %.
The distilled spirits category achieved another consecutive year of volume
growth in 2017 . This was led by increased consumer interest in high-end and super-premium products across various spirit segments . We project that the category will continue to grow as experiential events , tastings and brand ambassador programs attract new and loyal consumers wanting to enhance their entertainment occasions .
Sales of craft spirits have doubled in the past five years , but still only represent a 2.8 % category share . As a whole , craft is still smaller than Smirnoff or Bacardi , and only slightly larger than Crown Royal ( the number-three brand by volume ). BD
2017 TOP 10 BEER BRANDS BY CASE VOLUME
Brand
2017 Sales
Avg . % Change ‘ 13- ’ 17
Bud Light
457,198
-3.2%
Coors Light
223,125
-3.2%
Budweiser
178,944
-4.5%
Miller Lite
168,472
-2.9%
Corona Extra
126,300
5.4 %
Modelo Especial
97,650
18.8 %
Natural Light
87,582
-3.7%
Busch Light
82,231
-2.0%
Michelob Ultra
81,831
10.1 %
Busch
62,524
-3.6%
2017 TOP 10 SPIRITS BRANDS BY CASE VOLUME
Brand
2017 Sales
Avg . % Change ‘ 13- ’ 17
Smirnoff
9,249
-0.9%
Bacardi
6,867
-3.2%
Crown Royal
6,065
9.2 %
Tito ’ s Handmade Vodka
5,802
49.7 %
Captain Morgan
5,712
-0.1%
New Amsterdam
5,353
31.9 %
Jack Daniel ’ s
5,231
2.1 %
Jim Beam Family
4,962
5.7 %
Fireball
4,902
33.1 %
FOR MORE INFORMATION TO ACCESS ADDITIONAL DATA AND ANALYSIS AROUND THE BEVERAGE ALCOHOL INDUSTRY , VISIT BEVINFOSTORE . COM .
10 Beverage Dynamics • November / December 2018 www . beveragedynamics . com